a look at txtech 2024 fall softball by Lubbock rag

Forum to discuss the best softball team in the country
OUBeliever56A
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Post by OUBeliever56A »

Bottom post of the previous page:

In this and another thread here, there has been a discussion about what makes a team good in general. RH Pitching, LH pitching and all that versus various hitter LH and RH.

As I said above in an answer to "KC" run differential is the stat to look at.

In the other thread the home-field advantage was quoted as 0.25 at home vs on the road. In that thread it was shown that the run differential is huge compared to that MLB stat. It is more like 6 runs plus for Oklahoma.

I just tried to show why MLB really does not compare to D1 Softball and why.....

Maybe I got the two threads confused, my bad. If I ruined your party or this thread, I apologize. It is still good info to know. (At least I think so.)

:surrender:
navier
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Post by navier »

OUBeliever56A wrote: Fri Dec 13, 2024 9:37 am In this and another thread here, there has been a discussion about what makes a team good in general. RH Pitching, LH pitching and all that versus various hitter LH and RH.

As I said above in an answer to "KC" run differential is the stat to look at.

In the other thread the home-field advantage was quoted as 0.25 at home vs on the road. In that thread it was shown that the run differential is huge compared to that MLB stat. It is more like 6 runs plus for Oklahoma.

I just tried to show why MLB really does not compare to D1 Softball and why.....

Maybe I got the two threads confused, my bad. If I ruined your party or this thread, I apologize. It is still good info to know. (At least I think so.)

:surrender:
You didn't ruin anything, I was just trying to follow along in the thread and quoting what you are referring to helps with that..
Yes quantitatively some stats are certainly different in softball vs MLB. If you can give a reason other than what I referred to (which had nothing to do with MLB stats) regarding LHP in softball being an advantage (as that lady's data/correlations implied regarding whiff % ) then I am all ears as I actually find that stat interesting and one that Patty seemed to intuitively know about and hence her penchant for LHP...
OUBeliever56A
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Post by OUBeliever56A »

navier wrote: Fri Dec 13, 2024 9:43 am
You didn't ruin anything, I was just trying to follow along in the thread and quoting what you are referring to helps with that..
Yes quantitatively some stats are certainly different in softball vs MLB. If you can give a reason other than what I referred to regarding LHP being an advantage then I am all ears..
My thoughts about LH vs RH pitching differs from yours. I see things this way.

I think LH pitchers are usually better than RH pitchers against LH hitters because of the sweeping curve ball (breaking away from the hitter) that some lefties can throw. Especially against slappers. A good sweeping curveball just neutralizes a LH hitter and requires a guess as if it is going to be a strike or a ball. A LH can "foul" it off to stay alive but at some point they take a pitch. If it is a strike, they are out or a strike deeper in the count. (I have never understodd what I hitter can "just foul it off" vs just hit it, but who knows.) If a LH pitcher does not have that "sweeper" they really do not have a great advantage.

It is rare when a RH pitcher has that type of a sweeping curve ball that can be thrown vs RH hitters. It seems to me it is a LH Pitchers pitch much more than a RH Pitchers pitch.

In each case, a LH Pitcher or a RH Pitcher must get the batter out that are on the opposite side of the plate. For a LH Pitcher, facing many more RH hitters, especially with power, they cannot miss over the plate with that curve ball or a rise ball as it will be a HR or EBH quickly. For a RH Pitcher, a curve ball or a rise ball left over the plate to a LH hitter (probably greater than 50% are slappers still) is just a single or a double at most. That is what makes LH Hitters with power so special as they change that single to a double and that double to a HR on those fat curve balls.

The best pitch a pitcher has against power RH hitters is a RH screw ball or a LH drop ball inside to the hitter. The screw jams them in on the hands and the inside drop just drives the ball into the ground. Most RH hitters do not hit the ball down and in well, and not for power. The opposite is true for some reason for LH hitters. Most power hitting LH batters hit the ball very well inside and down. It is the LH hitters spot you avoid as a RH pitcher.

What made Jordy Bahl so good was this. She had a RH screw ball that was as efecctive against a RH hitter as it was against a LH hitter. When she was on, it was not hit and she could throw it for strikes or just off the plate anytime she needed to. She also had the straight drop and could spot that pitch inside or outside to both sides of the plate. Then when you were looking for those pitches as a hitter she just threw a rise ball past you just above the hitting zone. OR she could throw her "sweeping curve ball" to a RH pitcher and get her on the outside.

The keys are always 1) movement away, 2) movement in and 3) movement down. The rise ball is a tool but it is a pitch "everyone has even without the perfect spin". A fast ball up that does not drop is just about as good as a rise ball in most cases. To throw it in the upper hapf of the hitting zone does require a good rise though. Montana Fouts had one of those really good rises.

My thoughts only....
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Post by navier »

OUBeliever56A wrote: Fri Dec 13, 2024 10:22 am

It is rare when a RH pitcher has that type of a sweeping curve ball that can be thrown vs RH hitters.

This could be a reason I guess (if true) but there are probably 60-75% fewer LH hitters than RH hitters which makes it hard for me to believe
that this reason is enough to support that lady's data which said that being a LHP has one of the three top positive correlations with whiff % regardless of the what side of the plate the hitter is on. In order for the data to be what it is, the LHP curve vs LH hitters would have to be so much more effective to outweigh any advantage a RHP has (due to their curveball) against 60-75% more RH hitters.
OUBeliever56A wrote: Fri Dec 13, 2024 10:22 am It seems to me it is a LH Pitchers pitch much more than a RH Pitchers pitch.
This is anecdotal but yeah if that was the case then sure if LHP are better in general that would cause more swings and misses :D That said
I cannot think of a reason why it would be true...lol.

I still think the lack of familiarity is as much a reason as any. They just are not as used to seeing a ball being thrown from the left hand side.
Hitters extrapolate using prior knowledge as they cannot actually see the ball the last 1/3 of the pitch path..I also don't think East/West pitches are nearly as effective in softball as they are in baseball..the ball just doesn't break enough.
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